A REALISTIC LOOK AT GLOBAL WARMING - Much of the alarmism surrounding the climate change issue results from climate computer models that predict considerably higher temperatures in the coming decades as a result of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Carbon dioxide was part of God’s “very good” creation. Plants “breathe” carbon dioxide, and there is evidence that increased atmospheric carbon dioxide is causing more plants to grow, even in dry areas. So even if CO2 is warming the planet today, Christians have no reason to panic over this issue. Earth’s atmosphere is subject to numerous intricate interactions, and we still don’t have a firm understanding of its overall long-term sensitivity. We need to refrain from jumping to conclusions based on skewed climate models and short-sighted assumptions. To be sure, God has appointed man to be custodian of His Earth - we should be good stewards of what He has given us, but we enter dangerous territory if we presume to be able to control and shape to our will what God has made. - Global warming has been hotly debated, with many arguing that Earth is undergoing potentially catastrophic man-made climate change. Is Earth getting warmer? Is such warming, if real, dangerous? And is it caused by human-produced carbon dioxide (CO2)? Or, to put it another way, is catastrophic anthropogenic (man-made) global warming (abbreviated as CAGW) real?

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A Realistic Look at Global Warming

Much of the alarmism surrounding the climate change issue results from climate computer models that predict considerably higher temperatures in the coming decades as a result of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Carbon dioxide was part of God’s “very good” creation. Plants “breathe” carbon dioxide, and there is evidence that increased atmospheric carbon dioxide is causing more plants to grow, even in dry areas. So even if CO² is warming the planet today, Christians have no reason to panic over this issue. Earth’s atmosphere is subject to numerous intricate interactions, and we still don’t have a firm understanding of its overall long-term sensitivity. We need to refrain from jumping to conclusions based on skewed climate models and short-sighted assumptions. To be sure, God has appointed man to be custodian of His Earth - we should be good stewards of what He has given us, but we enter dangerous territory if we presume to be able to control and shape to our will what God has made

by Vernon R. Cupps, Ph.D., and Jake Hebert, Ph.D.

 

Since the late 1980s, global warming has been hotly debated, with many arguing that Earth is undergoing potentially catastrophic man-made climate change.

Is Earth getting warmer? Is such warming, if real, dangerous?

And is it caused by human-produced carbon dioxide (CO²)?

Or, to put it another way, is catastrophic anthropogenic (man-made) global warming (abbreviated as CAGW) real?

There has been a warming trend for much of the 20th century.

In fact, ICR scientist Larry Vardiman did his own independent analysis of three different datasets and concluded that warming had probably occurred for at least the last 30 to 50 years.

But past warming is no indication that such warming will necessarily continue.

In fact, there has been an apparent pause in this warming trend for the last 18 years.

Nor does a warming trend automatically prove that human activity is responsible.

A recent article in Eos, however, attempted to establish as fact that human activities drive global warming.

The author, Dr. Shaun Lovejoy, did this by supposedly disproving the only alternative — that observed warming is due to natural causes.

He calls those who support this alternative hypothesis “denialists” because they supposedly deny the obvious facts of science.

Lovejoy attempts to show that increased amounts of atmospheric carbon dioxide are responsible for an increase in global temperatures of about 1° Celsius over the last 125 years.

He does this by making a plot of change in global temperature against a “stand in” or “proxy” for radiative forcing due to atmospheric CO² (Figure 1).

Radiative forcing is an indication of a gas’s ability to affect the earth’s climate. (See the sidebar for a more detailed discussion.)

Lovejoy argues that there is only a one-in-three-million chance that natural causes could produce this temperature rise, although he later acknowledges that a more realistic estimate is one in a thousand.

A History Lesson

But are long-lasting changes in climate really that unlikely?

Abundant historical evidence shows that significant, long-term climate fluctuations lasting hundreds of years have taken place.

These fluctuations occurred long before human CO² contributions became significant.

Even scientists who believe that humans are causing global warming acknowledge that human contributions to atmospheric CO² were practically negligible until the early- to mid-1900s.

Yet there have been two significant changes in climate within the last thousand years — the Medieval Warm Period (roughly 950–1250 A. D.) and the Little Ice Age (roughly 1300–1850 A. D.).

Because these changes in climate occurred before humans could have caused them, the mere existence of these two periods is a real problem for any attempt to dismiss the possibility of natural changes in climate.

For this reason, some who believe in CAGW have attempted to minimize the significance of these past climate fluctuations, despite abundant historical evidence for their reality.

For instance, one of the best-known images in the global warming debate is the “hockey stick” graph of Penn State University climatologist Michael Mann, so-called because it resembles a hockey stick turned on its side with the blade pointing up.

The hockey stick has been used to argue that the late 20th century was characterized by unprecedented warming, since Mann’s statistical analysis significantly “cooled” the Medieval Warm period.

However, Mann’s work has been widely criticized, and a more conventional analysis indicates that 20th-century warming is not unprecedented (Figure 2).

The Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age raise an obvious question about Lovejoy’s reasoning.

If not one but two significant long-term changes in climate have occurred within the last thousand years, before humans could have influenced climate to any significant degree, then perhaps such naturally occurring changes in climate are not nearly as unlikely as Lovejoy claims!

Moreover, Lovejoy seems to be underestimating the probability of natural changes in climate.

His argument assumes that temperatures from hundreds of years ago can be known accurately to within just one-tenth of a degree Celsius (0.1°C).

But these temperatures were not measured with thermometers — not even crude thermometers.

Rather, they were estimated from things like tree rings, boreholes, ice cores, etc.

Because these are indirect estimates of temperatures, the true uncertainty is almost surely a lot more than Lovejoy’s optimistic estimate of 0.1°C.

Using the same reasoning he used, but with larger estimates for these temperature uncertainties, would imply that significant natural changes in climate are much more probable than he asserts.

An interesting side note is that many evolutionists absolutely dismiss out of hand the possibility that any observed global warming could be due primarily to natural causes.

For instance, the National Center for Science Education has made advocacy of a belief in man-made global warming a priority.

Yet even by Lovejoy’s own calculations, the lowest probability he can estimate against recent warming being the result of natural causes is one in three million (1 in 3×106).

Compare this to a probability of 1 in 1×10106 that the simple protein insulin can form by pure chance.

Yet evolutionists claim that the insulin protein did somehow form by chance, even though such an event is much less likely (by their own reasoning) than long-term natural climate variation, which many of them confidently dismiss as an impossibility.

Why? Could it have something to do with their worldview?

Lovejoy quickly dismisses other factors that can affect climate, such as changes in solar activity.

But mounting evidence shows that the sun can indeed subtly influence weather and climate by affecting the number of cosmic rays (energetic protons) entering the atmosphere.

In fact, the Ph.D. work of one of this article’s authors found additional evidence for this possibility.

Also, increases in temperature can actually cause an increase in atmospheric CO² via releases from the oceans.

A well-known rule in chemistry called Henry’s law states that the amount of gas that can be dissolved in a liquid decreases with increasing temperature at constant pressure.

This is the reason a can of soda goes flat as it warms.

Indeed, some datasets show atmospheric CO² increasing after temperature goes up.

So, are temperatures, particularly ocean temperatures, causing an increase in atmospheric CO², or are warmer temperatures the result of increased atmospheric CO², or is it some of both?

Another problem with the argument that human-produced carbon dioxide could lead to climate catastrophe is that this argument implicitly assumes that the concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide in the pre-industrial era was consistently much lower, about 270 parts per million (ppm), than today’s value of about 400 ppm.

It also assumes that today’s value is truly abnormal.

Systematic measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide have been made at Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii since 1959, and these measurements do indeed show an increase in CO² from about 310 ppm to today’s value of 400 ppm.

However, scientists also made thousands of measurements of atmospheric CO² between 1812 and 1958.

Although not as precise as the modern Mauna Loa readings, many of these older measurements are estimated to have been accurate to within 3% of the true values and were good enough to show a seasonal cycle that is also apparent in the Mauna Loa measurements.

These suggest high values of atmospheric carbon dioxide around the years 1825, 1857, and 1942, with the 1942 value comparable to today’s value of 400 ppm.

Specialists are aware of these data but generally dismiss them in favor of estimates of atmospheric CO² inferred from ice cores.

However, gases tend to escape from the cores after their removal from the surrounding ice, which implies that such estimates will tend to be lower than the true values.

Even so, there is evidence from a shallow Antarctic ice core that amounts of CO² may have been as high as 328 ppm within the last hundred years or so.

But recent jumps in the amount of atmospheric CO², both before and during the industrial period, suggest that atmospheric CO² can vary due to natural causes, not just human influences.

We have already mentioned one possible source for such variation — warming oceans, which would release more CO² into the atmosphere.

The Climate Change Model Problem

Finally, much of the alarmism surrounding this issue results from climate computer models that predict considerably higher temperatures in the coming decades as a result of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide.

Obviously, the particulars of different models will vary, but a general overview is presented in the sidebar.

However, in the past these climate models have consistently overestimated the amount of future warming, as shown in Figure 3.17

If one looks at these climate change model predictions for the temperature anomaly from the present to 2050, they vary from 0 to 2.5°C, a significant disparity between models.

The observational data are very near 0 for the temperature anomaly.

Clearly, there are major disagreements between different models about any significant global warming.

But the data accumulated thus far seem to support the models (hypotheses) predicting global warming of no more than 0.5°C through 2050.

It should also be remembered that carbon dioxide was part of God’s “very good” creation (Genesis 1:31).

Plants “breathe” carbon dioxide, and there is evidence that increased atmospheric carbon dioxide is causing more plants to grow, even in dry areas.

There are also indications that the pre-Flood world may have had more atmospheric carbon dioxide than we do at present, and this increased CO2 may have contributed to a much more temperate pre-Flood climate.

So even if CO² is warming the planet today, Christians have no reason to panic over this issue.

So many variables affect Earth’s climate that it’s difficult to see how a computer model can accurately predict future changes, especially given our present imperfect understanding.

Earth’s atmosphere is subject to numerous intricate interactions, and we still don’t have a firm understanding of its overall long-term sensitivity.

If we want a realistic assessment of climate change, we need to

1) do our homework and learn from history,

2) continue to study the data with great diligence, and

3) refrain from jumping to conclusions based on skewed climate models and short-sighted assumptions.

To be sure, God has appointed man to be custodian of His Earth.

We should be good stewards of what He has given us, but we enter dangerous territory if we presume to be able to control and shape to our will what God has made.

The law of unanticipated consequences inevitably intervenes.

Drs. Cupps and Hebert are Research Associates at the Institute for Creation Research. Dr. Cupps received his Ph.D. in nuclear physics at Indiana University-Bloomington. Dr. Hebert received his Ph.D. in physics from the University of Texas at Dallas.

The Institute for Creation Research (ICR) wants people to know that God’s Word can be trusted in everything it speaks about—from how and why we were made, to how the universe was formed, to how we can know God and receive all He has planned for us.

After 50 years of ministry, ICR remains a leader in scientific research within the context of biblical creation. Founded by Dr. Henry Morris in 1970, ICR exists to conduct scientific research within the realms of origins and Earth history, and then to educate the public both formally and informally through professional training programs, through conferences and seminars around the country, and through books, magazines, and media presentations.

https://www.icr.org/article/realistic-look-at-global-warming/

SCRIPTURE AND CLIMATE CHANGE - Scripture’s history and clues on the ground together show that today’s dry Middle East had a wet past. While Christians should lead in protecting God’s creation, no Bible believer should buy into climate alarmism - this idea says that human activity can destroy the planet. God promised that Earth will remain fertile. The Creator doesn’t make junk - He made earth’s atmosphere strong enough to sustain the people He loves — even when some of those people fail to take care of His creation - Climate change conversations squeeze their way into so many different topics, yet climate research is rife with confusion. Which scientists are right: those who say pollution causes most global warming, or those who say that pollution may only play a minor role? Even expert opinions vary to extremes. In contrast, Genesis makes confident statements about earth’s climate. Whether through scientific suppression or waffling words, climate science seems to shift like the daily forecast. In contrast, the Word of God stands forever. For example, Genesis lists three big famines that fit Ice Age climate shifts. Noah’s Flood warmed oceans and powered volcanos that caused earth’s Ice Age. Centuries later, oceans cooled, volcanos calmed, and ice sheets melted. As the Ice Age faded, the Middle East transitioned from wetlands to deserts.

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Scripture And Climate Change
Does Scripture Say Anything about Climate?
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Scripture’s history and clues on the ground together show that today’s dry Middle East had a wet past. While Christians should lead in protecting God’s creation, no Bible believer should buy into climate alarmism - this idea says that human activity can destroy the planet. God promised that Earth will remain fertile. The Creator doesn’t make junk - He made earth’s atmosphere strong enough to sustain the people He loves — even when some of those people fail to take care of His creation

BY BRIAN THOMAS, PH.D.

Climate change conversations squeeze their way into so many different topics, yet climate research is rife with confusion.

Which scientists are right: those who say pollution causes most global warming, or those who say that pollution may only play a minor role?

Even expert opinions vary to extremes.

In contrast, Genesis makes confident statements about earth’s climate.

The 2009 climategate fiasco illustrates the confusion inside climate research.

Extracted emails exposed how certain climate researchers suppressed scientists who disagreed with them.

An embarrassing placard at Glacier National Park in Montana also shows confusion.

The old sign said that human activity warms the world enough to melt glaciers.

It said, “Computer models indicate the glaciers will all be gone by the year 2020.”

But the glaciers remain — so the park officials changed the sign.

Whether through scientific suppression or waffling words, climate science seems to shift like the daily forecast.

In contrast, the Word of God stands forever.

For example, Genesis lists three big famines that fit Ice Age climate shifts.

Noah’s Flood warmed oceans and powered volcanos that caused earth’s Ice Age.

Centuries later, oceans cooled, volcanos calmed, and ice sheets melted.

As the Ice Age faded, the Middle East transitioned from wetlands to deserts.

Abram travelled across today’s Iraq to Egypt across a “well watered” land that stands dry today.

Genesis 12:10 says, “Abram went down to Egypt to dwell there, for the famine was severe in the land.”

Crops won’t grow without rain.

Back then, melting ice sheets exposed new land far north of Egypt. Farming could continue up there.

Ancient Egyptians relied more on the Nile when rains failed to fall on their fields.

Scripture records the next major drought during Isaac’s time, saying, “There was a famine in the land, besides the first famine that was in the days of Abraham.”

Later, the Lord used Joseph as king in Egypt to save many people through a third drought recorded in Genesis.

Seven years without rain certainly counts as climate change!

That extreme warming had nothing to do with industrial pollution.

Scripture’s history and clues on the ground together show that today’s dry Middle East had a wet past.

While Christians should lead in protecting God’s creation, no Bible believer should buy into climate alarmism.

This idea says that human activity can destroy the planet.

What about God’s promise to Noah?

He said, “While the earth remains, seedtime and harvest, cold and heat, winter and summer, and day and night shall not cease.”

God promised that Earth will remain fertile.

The Creator doesn’t make junk. He made earth’s atmosphere strong enough to sustain the people He loves — even when some of those people fail to take care of His creation.

Mankind makes mistakes. Our faults bleed into science, signs, and society.

In contrast, three droughts and a Genesis promise show the certainty of our great Creator’s Words.

*Dr. Thomas is Research Associate at the Institute for Creation Research and earned his Ph.D. in paleobiochemistry from the University of Liverpool.

https://www.icr.org/article/does-scripture-say-anything-about-climate/

BE VIGILANT - Prepare but don’t Fear - The scripture plainly says no one knows the day or the hour when the rapture happens and there’s lots meant to happen prior which are signs of His coming. What we are witnessing are events mentioned in Matthew 23 and 24, “There will be wars and rumors of wars.” There will be famines. This is evolving with the weather issues (including hurricanes) which are being promoted as Global Warming or climate change. There will be pestilence. This could come out of disasters like earthquakes and storms which will leave behind diseases but also engineered plagues may well be released to depopulate. There will be earthquakes in diverse places. NZ has experienced its’ fair share recently and in diverse places like Kaikoura. The earthquakes we have witnessed worldwide are of higher magnitude with more frequency. When it comes to earthquakes and weather, there is possibly a human element involved in many of these disasters. Place yourself in the right position of any imminent crisis.

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Be Vigilant

Prepare but don’t Fear!

By Chris C

A Minute To Midnite

The rapture will not happen on the 23rd but we should always be prepared.

The scripture plainly says no one knows the day or the hour and there’s lots meant to happen prior which are signs of His coming.

What we are witnessing are events mentioned in Matthew 23 and 24, “There will be wars and rumors of wars.”

North Korea and conflict with USA. This I believe is a rumor and a total smokescreen (distraction) to what’s really going on with the financial instability of the world.

Out of this more money will be provided through money printing in order to protect nations from conflict but really will be utilised to kick the financial can down the road a little further to the inevitable collapse.

There will be famines. This is evolving with the weather issues (including hurricanes) which are being promoted as Global Warming or climate change.

This is a big fat lie to distract even those in the church from the likes of scriptures in Matthew 24.

There will be pestilence. This could come out of disasters like earthquakes and storms which will leave behind diseases but also engineered plagues may well be released to depopulate.

There will be earthquakes in diverse places. NZ has experienced its’ fair share recently and in diverse places like Kaikoura.

The earthquakes we have witnessed worldwide are of higher magnitude with more frequency.

When it comes to earthquakes and weather, there is possibly a human element involved in many of these disasters through the likes of HAARP and cloud seeding with chemicals.

Look up the hurricane that was due to hit NY on 9/11 which suddenly dissipated and the outcome was controlled demolition of the Twin Towers.

This I believe was used to disguise or distract people from what was about to occur and the imminent hurricane was forgotten thereafter.

When God said in His Word in the OT (1 Kings) as He approached the mountain where Elijah stood, that there was a great wind and then an earthquake but God was in neither.

I believe these scriptures reveal that it’s possible to have outside influence to create such events.

This is a mini synopsis of what I believe is happening, be also alert to a re-set in the economies of the world.

There will be a day when a type of forgiveness of debt will occur and currencies will be revalued against the balance sheet of the nation they are priced in. e.g.

A country’s assets over liabilities, the more assets the better valuation.

This will most likely come about because of the sinking value of the petrodollar.

A replacement to the dollar will likely have a gold component to it, bringing back some accountability to the financial system but mostly it will be virtual (digital) based containing a basket of currencies and possibly crypto. 

This re-set will more than likely evolve after a meltdown in the global economy to bring calm.

In the meantime, we need to be vigilant, watch what’s happening to the US dollar, look at a 12-month chart.

Place yourself in the right position of any imminent crisis.

Make sure you have the right insurance in place and don’t trust anything that’s not in your hands.

We need to prepare, not fear!!

Bless you all,

Chris.

A Minute To Midnite is brings you news, interviews, survival tips, and insights into the world as we watch Biblical Prophecy unfold in the 21st century. We believe in encouraging people to prepare for the End Time events that are ahead – as we watch the signs unfold before us! We who run this site, are bible believing Christians who believe in being proactive in waking people up, spreading the truth of the gospel of Jesus Christ, and warning people of the evils of The New World Order to those who will listen.

We also strongly desire to see a return to an “Acts Chapter II” type of Christianity.

Praising God, and having favour with all the people. And the Lord added to the church daily such as should be saved. Acts 2:47

https://aminutetomidnite.com/gold-silver/be-vigilant-prepare-but-dont-fear/